Hypocognition (David Dunning)

 

The search for alpha requires dealing in unknowns. Some are known unknowns; others we’re completely blind to. To make progress, we simplify, abstract and employ models (mental and/or quantitative), seeking enough evidence and confidence to allocate capital.

The risk of loss in trading commodity interests can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such investing is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.